Many individuals and organisations are still struggling from
the effects of the global crisis and the fallout from uncontrolled government
borrowing across most Western countries. Where for some this just equates to cutting back on expenditure but for
others it equates to losing their homes and visiting food banks for basic
provisions.
It’s worth remembering that John Maynard Keynes said way
back in 1937 that “the boom, not the slump, is the right time for austerity at
the Treasury.” Contemporary Keynesian economists argue that budget deficits are
appropriate when an economy is in recession, to reduce unemployment and help
spur GDP growth. And where economist Paul Krugman explained that if everyone is
trying to reduce their spending, the economy can be trapped in what economists
call the paradox of thrift, worsening the recession as GDP falls. If the
private sector is unable or unwilling to consume at a level that increases GDP
and employment is sufficient, he argued the government should be spending more.
Strategies that involve short-term stimulus with longer-term
austerity are not mutually exclusive. Steps can be taken in the present that
will reduce future spending, such as ‘bending the curve’ on pensions by
reducing cost of living adjustments or raising the retirement age for younger
members of the population, while at the same time creating short-term spending
or tax cut programs to stimulate the economy to create jobs.
IMF managing director Christine Lagarde wrote in August 2011
that “for the advanced economies, there is an unmistakable need to restore
fiscal sustainability through credible consolidation plans. At the same time we
know that slamming on the brakes too quickly will hurt the recovery and worsen
job prospects. So fiscal adjustment must resolve the conundrum of being neither
too fast nor too slow; what is needed is a dual focus on medium-term
consolidation and short-term support for growth. That may sound contradictory,
but the two are mutually reinforcing. Decisions on future consolidation,
tackling the issues that will bring sustained fiscal improvement, create space
in the near term for policies that support growth.
While economists, academics and politicians can discuss with
gusto different theories and practices that may or may not work in the real
world; and our current politicians can, when backed into a corner, blame
everything on their predecessors - what we
should want to know, especially when more and more families are suffering and
large and small businesses are closing their doors on a regular basis – is why
isn’t anyone from government and the financial sector being held accountable
for the need for austerity measures in the first place?
Further during these times of austerity why are essential
service organisations, for example, in the energy and transport sectors being
allowed to increase prices in percentage terms that are way above the CPI or
average salary increases the majority of employees are getting. Adding further
suffering and financial problems for millions of people
In democratic nations this equates to monopolistic
exploitation, especially of the elderly and resembles a mafia racket – where if
you want to stay warm then you pay up or freeze. Where are our trusty politicians in this
instance, as this time they can’t blame past governments. Why aren’t they
ensuring everyone steps up to the plate to support their country gets out of
the recession and that their citizens aren’t taken advantage of especially in
times of austerity.
It’s worth remembering that in October 2012, the
International Monetary Fund announced that its forecasts for countries which
implemented austerity programs have been consistently overoptimistic,
suggesting that tax hikes and spending cuts have been doing more damage than
expected, and countries which implemented fiscal stimulus, such as Germany and
Austria, have done better than expected.
Without meaning to sound melodramatic, most revolutions through
history have started because of economic factors, including the government
facing financial difficulties and bankruptcy; citizens facing hunger and
unemployment; and those in power being
out of touch and seemingly indifferent to the hardships of segments of their
population; and where citizens aspire for social, political and economic
equality.
The citizens of most Western countries are entitled to know
how their country got into such a financial mess in the first place and ask why
the people responsible haven’t been held to account?
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